From volcano monitoring and hazard assessment to risk management
Del monitoreo volcánico y la evaluación de la amenaza a la gestión del riesgo
Del monitoreo volcánico y la evaluación de la amenaza a la gestión del riesgo
From volcano monitoring and hazard assessment to risk management
401 Evolución espacio-temporal de la estructura interna de sistemas volcánicos activos [English]
Formato: Presentaciones
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: Presentaciones orales y posters
Convocantes: Carlos Alberto Vargas Jiménez, Natalia Pardo Villaveces, Hugo Murcia
Contacto: cavargas@unal.edu.co
Descripción:
Los sistemas volcánicos activos presentan una alta variabilidad en los intervalos de ocurrencia y dimensión de sus manifestaciones en superficie, muchas veces acompañados de largos periodos de quiescencia. A medida que más variables se monitorizan de manera continua y se garantiza mayor completitud del registro instrumental, es posible identificar patrones espacio – temporales sobre la evolución de volúmenes de roca involucrados en el proceso eruptivo, las características del magma, fluidos hidrotermales y material arrastrado en profundidad. Aunque en etapas iniciales es difícil de identificar estos patrones, los sistemas volcánicos permiten identificar patrones propios que contribuyen a consolidar estimaciones sobre posibles escenarios eruptivos a corto y mediano plazo.
En la medida que conozcamos mejor las tendencias sobre el comportamiento espacio-temporal de variables geofísicas, geoquímicas y de materiales emitidos hacia la superficie por parte de todos los cuerpos que componen los complejos volcánicos o sistemas magmáticos activos regionales, será posible consolidar esquemas de monitoreo más eficientes. En esta sesión se invita a presentar trabajos que vinculen el monitoreo de diversas variables e ideas sobre la evolución de los sistemas volcánicos con el fin de identificar relaciones entre variables y vínculos espacio-temporales entre diversos cuerpos volcánicos.
401 Temporal and Spatial Evolution of the Internal Structure of Active Volcanic Systems
Format: Presentations
Accepting abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Carlos Alberto Vargas Jiménez, Natalia Pardo Villaveces, Hugo Murcia
Contact: cavargas@unal.edu.co
Description:
Active volcanic systems exhibit a high degree of variability in the intervals of occurrence and dimensions of their surface manifestations, often accompanied by extended periods of quiescence. As a greater number of variables are continuously monitored, ensuring a more comprehensive instrumental record, it becomes possible to identify spatial-temporal patterns regarding the evolution of rock volumes involved in the eruptive process, magma characteristics, hydrothermal fluids, and subsurface transported material. Although these patterns are challenging to discern in the initial stages, volcanic systems ultimately reveal their own distinctive patterns, contributing to the consolidation of estimations regarding potential short and medium-term eruptive scenarios.
As our understanding improves regarding the spatial-temporal behavior trends of geophysical, geochemical, and superficially emitted material variables across all components constituting volcanic complexes or active regional magmatic systems, it will be feasible to establish more efficient monitoring frameworks. This session aims to encourage presentations that establish connections between the monitoring of diverse variables and concepts concerning the evolution of volcanic systems, in order to identify relationships among these variables and spatial-temporal connections among different volcanic entities.
402 Identifying evolutive patterns of distributed volcanism, implications for hazard and risk assessment
Format: Presentations and panel discussion
Accepting abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: Oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Amiel Nieto Torres, María del Carmen Jaimes Viera, Chuck Connor
Contact: amielnieto@gmail.com
Description:
Most volcanoes on Earth are found in widely distributed volcanic fields made up of tens to hundreds of vents. These distributed fields occur in almost all tectonic settings and present the full range of eruption styles and associated hazards. Volcanic fields evolve over time, and deposits are variably preserved, with poorly understood trends. We do not know when or where the next eruption might occur, and we have very little data upon which to base estimates. Continued growth of cities, communities, and critical infrastructure near these volcanic fields makes it increasingly important that we develop robust hazards assessments. There are significant challenges in developing volcano hazards and risk assessments and monitoring plans for these vast areas. Patterns of the spatial and temporal distribution of volcanism within a volcanic field should be studied to understand the spatiotemporal probability of future activity in these vast areas and to more accurately forecast potential volcanic hazards. Some geochronological data can suggest migration of activity over time. Such trends have implications for the sites of potential future eruptions, and uncertainty in hazard assessment. However, there are still many aspects of the geophysical and geochemical characteristics of distributed volcanism that need to be understood to assess hazard and risk.
We encourage authors to submit works focused on addressing the following questions about distributed volcanic fields: where and when will the next eruption take place? What are the recurrence rates, volumetric eruption rates, and distributions of eruption magnitudes within and between volcanic fields? How can we integrate geophysical and geochemical models of magma ascent into eruption forecasts? How can we develop eruption response plans for these large areas? How can we best monitor such widespread distributed volcanism?
403 Multidisciplinary investigations to unravel the structure and dynamics of active volcanic systems
Format: Presentations
Accepting abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Roberto Isaia, Maria Giulia Di Giuseppe, Jacopo Natale, Victoria Smith
Contact: roberto.isaia@ingv.it
Description:
Understanding the interplay between magmatic processes and volcanic structures is a primary task for volcanological research. Complex structural features and deposit stratigraphy in active volcanic settings preserve evidence of the eruptive and deformation history. Furthermore, the chemistry of the deposits can ultimately provide information of the nature of magma storage and migration in the sub-volcanic plumbing system.
The integration of geophysical, geochemical and geological datasets has the potential to provide accurate constraints on the characteristics of sub-surface volcanic structures and their impact on magma storage, migration and eruption, and ultimately about the preferred pathways for rising magmatic and hydrothermal fluids. This includes how the structural development of a volcanic system controls magmatic processes both in space and time. By defining the interplay between structural and magmatic processes, it may be possible to build rigorous models of volcanic systems, identifying their steady-state conditions, transient modifications, and long-term evolution, which could provide important information for the prediction of future eruptive scenarios.
The objective of this Research Topic is to collect contributions that focus on mutual aspects of volcanology, geophysics, petrology and/or geochemistry to provide new information about the structure and dynamics of active volcanic and magmatic systems. These might include laboratory, field-based, experimental or modelling studies, which elucidate the architecture of volcanic systems on spatial scales ranging from surface observations to the entire crust, and temporal scales ranging from real-time monitoring during eruptive events to millennial eruptive histories. Original Research, Methods and Reviews integrating multiple volcanological, geochemical and geophysical techniques are particularly encouraged, as well as examples showing how a more defined knowledge of volcanic structures can improve volcanic hazard assessment and aid volcanic risk quantification.
404 Recent developments in understanding explosive eruptions from direct observations, erupted products, and modeling, with hazard and risk applications
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Elisabetta Del Bello, Jorge Romero, Karen Fontijn, Mattia De’ Michieli Vitturi, Daniele Andronico, Christopher Harpel, Piergiorgio Scarlato
Contact: elisabetta.delbello@ingv.it
Description:
Explosive eruptions – from small scale Strombolian bursts to catastrophic Plinian events – have the potential to cause environmental and socio-economic impacts, regardless of their magnitude. Understanding the frequency, magnitude, and consequences of explosive eruptions is therefore essential for hazard assessment and risk mitigation. This session invites contributors from diverse disciplines, also including emergency responders and planning authorities, to present and discuss the most recent research advancements on explosive eruptions.
Geologic studies of erupted deposits provide insights into the frequency and magnitude of past eruptions, their temporal and spatial distribution, and their environmental impact. Historical studies can complement geologic data with detailed accounts of eyewitnesses, cultural and societal impacts, and mitigation strategies. Modeling studies integrate geologic and historical data with advanced numerical simulations or laboratory experiments to predict the characteristics and effects of future eruptions. Direct observation and monitoring of active volcanoes allow to constrain eruption parameters from multi-sensor measurements and to study explosive eruptions in a truly multidisciplinary way, further improving existing models.
This session will cover a wide range of topics, including the identification of eruption triggers, the dynamics of explosions, including ballistics ejection, tephra fallout, eruption plumes and pyroclastic density currents (PDCs), the impacts of volcanic ash – and its remobilization – on atmospheric processes and climate, and the long-term consequences of small- to large-scale explosive eruptions on ecosystems and human societies. Particularly, we invite contributions on recent eruptive crises, especially those involving multidisciplinary evidence and crowd-sourced data on deposits, impacts, eruption chronologies, eruption dynamics, etc.
The session is organized by the Commission on explosive volcanism, and will provide a forum for interdisciplinary discussions and exchanges, fostering collaborations and new ideas for research and applications. The ultimate goal is to improve our understanding of explosive eruptions and their impacts, and to contribute to the development of effective strategies for hazard mitigation and risk reduction.
405 Deciphering magmatic processes and eruptive triggering at open conduit volcanoes: multidisciplinary approaches for hazard assessment and risk mitigation [español]
Format: Presentations
Accepting abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Maurizio Mulas, Matthew Watson, Marco Viccaro, Amelia Bain, Mario Ruiz, Andrew Bell, Roberto Mérida
Contact: mmulas@espol.edu.ec
Description:
The determination of parameters controlling the temporal development of volcanic processes is crucial for monitoring and emergency response. Persistently active volcanoes offer a rich opportunity to build understanding of volcanic and magmatic processes, hazards and risk. This thematic session is inspired by our insufficient awareness of how open-conduit volcanoes can produce unexpected energetic eruptions driven by pre- to syn-eruptive magmatic processes that occur during storage and/or ascent towards the surface. These frequent volcanic crises require effective monitoring, communication, sometime evacuations, and established roles and relationships between government institutions, communities and other actors. We currently know little about the conduit conditions that move volcanic systems from a steady-state, typically characterized by effusive and/or weak Strombolian activity, to energetic eruptions as in the case of Etna and Stromboli (Italy), Santiaguito and Volcán de Fuego (Guatemala), Reventador and Sangay (Ecuador).
This lack of knowledge is related to incompletely understood spatial-temporal dynamics of magma movements in the crust and relative feedbacks among the different processes. Illuminating these volcanic phenomena implies building understanding of the chemical and physical processes preceding and accompanying these energetic eruptions, including magma ascent, and plugging or sealing of the conduit, through the interpretation of geochemical and geophysical monitoring signals, field and experimental data.
We invite contributions in the fields of physical volcanology, geochemistry, petrology and geophysics, especially interdisciplinary studies, aimed at providing updated working models for open conduit, persistently active volcanoes worldwide. The primary goal of the session is to share models and ideas offering new elements for volcanic hazard assessment, in order to improve monitoring, management of volcanic crises, and the development of risk mitigation plans for people and infrastructure.
405 Descifrando procesos magmáticos y activación eruptiva en volcanes de conducto abierto: enfoques multidisciplinarios para la evaluación de amenazas y mitigación de riesgos
Formato: Presentaciones
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: presentaciones orales y posters
Convocantes: Maurizio Mulas, Matthew Watson, Marco Viccaro, Amelia Bain, Mario Ruiz, Andrew Bell, Roberto Mérida
Contacto: mmulas@espol.edu.ec
Descripción:
La determinación de parámetros que controlan el desarrollo temporal de los procesos volcánicos es crucial para el monitoreo y la respuesta a emergencias. Los volcanes persistentemente activos ofrecen una gran oportunidad para desarrollar la comprensión de los procesos, peligros y riesgos volcánicos y magmáticos. Esta sesión temática está inspirada en nuestra insuficiente conciencia de cómo los volcanes de conducto abierto pueden producir erupciones energéticas inesperadas impulsadas por procesos magmáticos pre- a sin-eruptivos que ocurren durante el almacenamiento y/o el ascenso hacia la superficie. Estas crisis volcánicas frecuentes requieren monitoreo efectivo, comunicación, evacuaciones ocasionales, roles y relaciones establecidos entre las instituciones gubernamentales, las comunidades y otros actores. Actualmente sabemos poco sobre las condiciones del conducto en los sistemas volcánicos desde un estado estacionario, típicamente caracterizado por una actividad estromboliana efusiva y/o débil, a erupciones energéticas como en el caso de Etna y Stromboli (Italia), Santiaguito y Volcán de Fuego ( Guatemala), Reventador y Sangay (Ecuador).
Esta falta de conocimiento está relacionada con la dinámica espacio-temporal incomprensible de los movimientos del magma en la corteza y las retroalimentaciones relativas entre los diferentes procesos. Iluminar estos fenómenos volcánicos implica desarrollar la comprensión de los procesos químicos y físicos que preceden y acompañan a estas erupciones energéticas, incluido el ascenso de magma y el taponamiento o sellado del conducto, a través de la interpretación de señales de monitoreo geoquímico y geofísico, datos de campo y experimentales.
Invitamos contribuciones en los campos de vulcanología física, geoquímica, petrología y geofísica, especialmente estudios interdisciplinarios, destinados a proporcionar modelos de trabajo actualizados para conductos abiertos, volcanes persistentemente activos en todo el mundo. El objetivo principal de la sesión es compartir modelos e ideas que ofrezcan nuevos elementos para la evaluación del peligro volcánico, con el fin de mejorar el monitoreo, la gestión de las crisis volcánicas y el desarrollo de planes de mitigación de riesgos para las personas y la infraestructura.
406 Decoupling in Pyroclastic Density Currents: Monitoring, Mapping, Hazards, Impacts, Risks [español]
Format: Presentations and discussion
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: lightning talks and posters
Conveners: Sylvain Charbonnier, Eric Breard, Sarah Ogburn
Contact: sylvain@usf.edu
Description:
Pyroclastic Density Currents (PDCs) are complex flows of hot particles and gas mixtures that pose a significant threat for infrastructures and populations surrounding volcanoes. Most casualties caused by recent PDCs (i.e., 2006-2010 Merapi and 2018 Fuego eruptions) were due to the unpredicted decoupling of the dense and dilute transport regimes in PDCs, where flows rapidly inundate valley banks and sometimes travel a few kilometers away from their detachment/overspill locations as ash-cloud surges and/or overbank flows. The causes and physics behind the decoupling processes of PDCs remain poorly known despite its high dangerousness. Given these challenges, how do we correctly evaluate the threat posed by such hazardous processes so that risk can be reduced through timely evacuations of communities living on the volcano slopes? Recent field investigations of PDC deposits have pointed out two key parameters that seem to control such processes: the geometry of the channel (i.e., channel capacity) and the local PDC discharge rate inside the channel at the decoupling/overspill site. The source conditions of the flow (How the PDC is generated at the vent? How much initial volume is released? How long is the source active?) in this process seems to be of first importance. Unsteady flow conditions leading to rapid infilling of valleys and local changes in PDC internal dynamics (i.e., velocity, thickness, and mass flux) may also promote decoupling and/or overspilling. This discussion session aims to bring together all those involved in monitoring, mapping, hazard assessment and related risk studies of PDCs through field-based, experimental and numerical modeling approaches, in order to highlight new approaches, methodologies and results aimed at mitigating decoupling hazards of PDCs. The session will consist of a series of short presentations, followed by a discussion between the public and panelists representing different groups.
406: Desacoplamiento en corrientes de densidad piroclástica (PDCs): monitoreo, mapeo, peligros, impactos, riesgos
Formato: Presentaciones y discusión
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: charlas relámpago y posters
Convocantes: Sylvain Charbonnier, Eric Breard, Sarah Ogburn
Contacto: sylvain@usf.edu
Descripción:
Las corrientes de densidad piroclástica (PDCs) son flujos complejos de partículas calientes y mezclas de gases que representan una amenaza importante para las infraestructuras y las poblaciones que rodean los volcanes. La mayoría de las víctimas causadas por las PDCs recientes (i.e., las erupciones de Merapi de 2006-2010 y de Fuego de 2018) se debieron al desacoplamiento imprevisto de los regímenes de transporte denso y diluido en las PDCs, donde los flujos inundan rápidamente los bordes de las barrancas y, a veces, se alejan unos kilómetros de sus lugares de desbordamiento como oleadas y/o flujos de desbordamiento. Las causas y la física detrás de los procesos de desacoplamiento de las PDCs siguen siendo poco conocidas a pesar de su alta peligrosidad. Dados estos desafíos, ¿cómo evaluamos correctamente la amenaza que representan procesos tan peligrosos para que el riesgo pueda reducirse mediante la evacuación oportuna de las comunidades que viven en las laderas del volcán? Investigaciones de campo recientes de los depósitos de PDC han señalado dos parámetros clave que parecen controlar tales procesos: la geometría del canal (es decir, la capacidad del canal) y la tasa de descarga local de PDC dentro del canal en el sitio de desacoplamiento/desbordamiento. Las condiciones de la fuente del flujo (¿Cómo se genera el PDC en la fuente? ¿Cuánto volumen inicial se libera? ¿Cuánto tiempo está activa la fuente?) en este proceso parece ser de primera importancia. Las condiciones de flujo inestable que conducen al llenado rápido de las barrancas y los cambios locales en la dinámica interna del PDC (i.e., la velocidad, el espesor y el flujo másico) también pueden promover el desacoplamiento y/o el desbordamiento. Esta sesión de discusión tiene como objetivo reunir a todos los involucrados en el monitoreo, mapeo, evaluación de peligros y estudios de riesgo relacionados de PDC a través de enfoques de modelado numérico, experimental y basado en el campo, para resaltar nuevos enfoques, metodologías y resultados destinados a mitigar los peligros de desacoplamiento de PDC. La sesión consistirá en una serie de presentaciones cortas, seguidas de una discusión entre el público y los panelistas que representan a diferentes grupos.
407 Evaluating secondary volcanic hazards: methodologies, recent advances and still open questions
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: Oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Marina Bisson, Lizeth Caballero, Fabio Dioguardi, Rebecca Fitzgerald, Josh Hayes, Nikhil Vasu Nedumpallille, Francesco Neglia, Ilaria Rucco, Damiano Sarocchi, Claudia Spinetti
Contact: lcaballero@encit.unam.mx
Description:
Many active volcanoes around the world show a series of hazardous phenomena not always limited to eruptive activity. As such, natural hazards associated with volcanic activity can be distinguished as primary and secondary. This session focuses on secondary hazards including lahars, mudflows and floods, jökulhlaups, fires activated by incandescent erupted materials, landslides, and volcanogenic tsunamis. Secondary hazard analysis is challenging due to the potential to have far reaching and long lasting devastating effects, and the uncertainty in estimating magnitude-frequency scenarios. Because of this, we look to discuss methods for mapping, modeling and assessing secondary volcanic hazards using deterministic, statistical, heuristic and probabilistic techniques. We welcome new ideas and developments where these have been applied towards risk mitigation practices and crisis response. Multi and trans-disciplinary groups are encouraged to participate due to the different actors involved and the need for cross-cutting actions in volcanic disaster risk reduction.
408 From ground to space: Observations and modelling of volcanic gas and ash emissions for eruption forecasting and probabilistic hazard assessment [español]
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Giuseppe Salerno, Silvia Massaro, Stefano Corradini, Giancarlo Tamburello, Silvana Hidalgo, Antonio Costa, Arnau Folch, Taryn López, Tasmin A. Mather, Pasquale Sellitto
Contact: giuseppe.salerno@ingv.it
Description:
Volcanic eruptions are a spectacular manifestation of the forces that shape our dynamic planet. Their impacts spread from the geosphere to the atmosphere with the potential to have severe global impacts. Forecasting volcanic eruptions is a primary goal in natural hazards research. Since the establishment of the first volcano Observatory at Vesuvius (Italy) in 1841, the number of observatories and monitoring systems have increased providing a wealth of data of underlying physical processes that drive volcanic eruptions. Over the past decades, technological advancement of satellite and ground-based remote sensing instruments has played a major role in volcano monitoring, enabling subtle signals of volcanic unrest to be detected prior to eruption, even at remote/inaccessible volcanoes. Further, the synoptic data integration from space-sensors together with ground-truthing networks of remote sensing based instruments, has offered a new perspective in the observation and characterisation of volcanic clouds and the impacts of their particle and gas emissions. Thanks to these improvements, data streams are now being integrated into chemistry- and physics-based models improving their reliability, to better assess eruption forecasting and probabilistic hazard quantifications. This session solicits contributions which advance knowledge to the current state-of-the-art in using observations and modelling of volcanic plumes aimed to highlight the eruptive dynamics shown by quiescent and active volcanoes and their impacts and hazards on local and global scales. We welcome studies on multi-parametric integration of remotely sensed and direct data of volcanic plumes and tectonic environment integrated with geophysical records and explored by numerical modelling to better understand the processes that underlie volcanic activity, from quiescent and eruptive volcanoes, and ultimately relate the style and magnitude of eruption and their impacts and hazards on local to global scales.
408 De la tierra al espacio: Observaciones y modelizaciones de emisiones de cenizas y gases volcánicos para el pronóstico de erupciones y la evaluación probabilística de peligros
Formato: Presentaciones
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: presentaciones orales y posters
Convocantes: Giuseppe Salerno, Silvia Massaro, Stefano Corradini, Giancarlo Tamburello, Silvana Hidalgo, Antonio Costa, Arnau Folch, Taryn López, Tasmin A. Mather, Pasquale Sellitto
Contacto: giuseppe.salerno@ingv.it
Descripción:
Las erupciones volcánicas suponen una manifestación espectacular de las fuerzas que moldean la dinámica de nuestro planeta. Sus impactos se extienden desde la geosfera hasta la atmósfera, con potencial para causar graves repercusiones a nivel global. Predecir las las erupciones volcánicas y sus impactos es un objetivo primordial en la investigación de los riesgos naturales. Desde el establecimiento del primer observatorio volcanológico en el Vesubio (Italia) en el año 1841, el número de observatorios y sistemas de monitoreo ha aumentado constantemente, proporcionando una gran cantidad de datos sobre los procesos físicos subyacentes a las erupciones volcánicas. En las últimas décadas, el avance tecnológico en instrumentos de teledetección satelital y terrestre ha desempeñado un papel importante en el monitoreo de volcanes, permitiendo detectar señales sutiles de activación volcánica, incluso en volcanes remotos y/o inaccesibles. Además, la integración de datos sinópticos de sensores espaciales junto con redes de instrumentos de teledetección en tierra, ha ofrecido una nueva perspectiva en la observación y caracterización de nubes volcánicas y de los impactos de sus emisiones de partículas y gases. Gracias a estas mejoras, los flujos de datos se están integrando en modelos basados en la química y la física, mejorando su confiabilidad y quantificando mejor la predicción de erupciones y sus riesgos. Esta sesión solicita contribuciones que avancen en el conocimiento del estado actual de observaciones y modelización de plumas volcánicas con el objetivo de resaltar la dinámica eruptiva, ya sea en volcanes en reposo o activos, así como sus impactos y riesgos a escalas locales y globales. Se apreciarán estudios sobre la integración multiparamétrica de datos de teledetección de plumas volcánicas y tectónicos, con mediciones directas de gases y registros geofísicos, así como sobre la modelización numérica de la dispersión de gases para comprender mejor los procesos subyacentes a la actividad volcánica, tanto en volcanes en reposo como en erupción, y en última instancia relacionar el estilo y la magnitud de la erupción y sus impactos y riesgos a escalas local y global.
409 Multi-scale and multi-parametric geodetic monitoring and modeling for studying and forecasting volcanic activity
Format: Presentations
Accepting abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: Oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Alessandro Bonforte, Flavio Cannavo, Iole Serena Diliberto, Milton Ordóñez, Christelle Wauthier
Contact: alessandro.bonforte@ingv.it
Description:
The session aims to bring together researchers and experts in the field of geodetic monitoring and modeling for studying and forecasting volcanic activity. Volcanic eruptions pose a significant threat to life and property, and geodetic monitoring has proven to be an effective tool in mitigating these risks. In recent years, advances in geodetic monitoring techniques and modeling approaches have led to a better understanding of deep and shallow mama plumbing systems, volcanic processes, and improved forecasting capabilities.
Topics of interest for this session include, but are not limited to:
– Multi-scale geodetic monitoring techniques, such as InSAR, GPS, and on-situ ground deformation monitoring, for studying volcanic activity.
– Multi-parametric monitoring approaches that combine geodetic data among them and with other types of data, such as seismic, gas emissions, and thermal monitoring, to better understand volcanic activity.
– Advanced modeling approaches for simulating volcanic processes and forecasting volcanic activity, such as Bayesian networks, machine learning, and data assimilation.
– Case studies that demonstrate the application of multi-scale and multi-parametric geodetic monitoring and modeling in studying and forecasting volcanic activity.
– Strategies for incorporating geodetic monitoring and modeling into volcanic hazard assessment and risk management.
We invite submissions of abstracts for oral presentations and posters that address these topics. This session provides a forum for exchanging ideas and knowledge, and for fostering collaborations among researchers and practitioners working in this field.
Keywords: Volcanic activity, Geodetic monitoring, Modeling, Multi-scale, Multi-parametric, Forecasting.
410 Shallow submarine and marine-emergent volcanism: Marine tephra, physical processes, risks, response, and monitoring [Español]
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Steffen Kutterolf, Samuel J. Mitchell, Kristen Fauria, Ralf Gertisser, Hélène LeMével, Tushar Mittal, Paraskevi Nomikou, Ally Peccia, Andrea Verolino
Contact: skutterolf@geomar.de
Description:
The seas around subduction zones and/or volcanic islands collect large volumes of eruption-generated material in form of marine ash layers and basin-filling mass flow deposits from shallow submarine and emergent explosive volcanism, presenting an ongoing hazard for populated regions in many parts of the world. The controlling factors of this volcanism encompass both internal (petrogenetic)and external (tectonics, climate), mechanisms and their interplay, which is often poorly understood.
Submarine volcanic deposits record eruption, transport and depositional processes, allow reconstruction of volcanic provenance, and high-resolution eruptive time series and description of associated petrogenetic processes and eruption triggers. In addition to the physical eruption controls, the impacts from marine eruptions may cross oceans and international borders. Such events can be disastrous to small island nations and coastal communities where critical infrastructure, access, communication, and aid can be severely disrupted. These multi-hazard eruptions present complex geopolitical scenarios regarding monitoring, hazard preparation, risk, and subsequent response.
In this session, we welcome abstracts addressing: 1) research on modern and ancient marine volcanic deposits and their temporal link to tectonic processes and sea level variation, 2) petrologic studies of magmatic processes over time, 3) advances in monitoring of hazardous marine systems, 4) improving preparation and mitigating risk for vulnerable coastal and island communities, and 5) effective and efficient response during impactful eruptions.
We encourage multidisciplinary abstracts that combine academic research from marine exploration (submersible, seismic, coring, and/or drilling campaigns), emergency management, first responders, and civil authorities. The session invites contributions from recent field-based studies of the Hellenic arc, linked to IODP Expedition 398, as well as other observational, laboratory and theoretical studies of other volcanic systems, and contributions on related volcanic hazards and risk mitigation.
This session is supported by the IAVCEI Commission on Submarine Volcanism (CoSV).
410 Vulcanismo somero submarino y marino-emergente: tefra marino, procesos físicos, riesgos, respuestas y monitoreo
Formato: Presentaciones
Acceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: oral presentations and posters
Convocantes: Steffen Kutterolf, Samuel J. Mitchell, Kristen Fauria, Ralf Gertisser, Hélène LeMével, Tushar Mittal, Paraskevi Nomikou, Ally Peccia, Andrea Verolino
Contacto: skutterolf@geomar.de
Descripción:
Los mares alrededor de zonas de subducción y/o islas volcánicas atrapan grandes volúmenes de material generado durante erupciones como capas de cenizas marinas y depósitos de deslizamientos de volcanismo llano y volcanismo emergente explosivo que presentan un riesgo para regiones pobladas en muchas partes del mundo. Los procesos y factores de control sobre este volcanismo incluyen procesos internos (petrogenéticos) como también mecanismos externos (tectónica, clima) y sus interacciones lo cual es poco entendido. Depósitos volcánicos submarinos registran procesos de erupción, transporte y deposición lo cual permite la reconstrucción de procedencia volcánica y series de tiempo eruptivas de alta resolución al igual que descripciones de procesos petrogenéticos asociados y detonantes de erupción. Tal como los factores de control de erupción físicos, los impactos de erupciones marinas pueden cruzar océanos y fronteras internacionales. Tales eventos pueden ser desastrosos para pequeñas naciones insulares y comunidades costeras donde infraestructura crítica, acceso, comunicación y ayudas pueden ser severamente afectados. Estas erupciones de riesgo múltiple presentan situaciones geopolíticas complejas respecto al monitoreo, preparación de peligros, riesgo y respuesta subsiguiente.
En esta sesión, recibimos resúmenes que abarquen: 1) estudios de depósitos volcánicos antiguos y modernos con un enlace temporal a procesos tectónicos y cambios de nivel de mar, 2) estudios petrológicos de procesos magmáticos a través del tiempo, 3) avances en monitoreo de sistemas marinos peligrosos, 4) mejoras en preparación y de mitigación de riesgos para comunidades costales e insulares vulnerables y 5) respuestas efectivas y eficientes durante erupciones impactantes.
Fomentamos resúmenes multidisciplinarios que combinen investigación académica de exploración marina (sumergible, sísmica, barrenos y/o campañas de perforación), manejo de emergencia, primeros auxilios y autoridades civiles. Esta sesión invita contribuciones de estudios de campo recientes del arco Helénico asociadas a Expedición 398 de IODP (por sus siglas en inglés) al igual que otros estudios observacionales, de laboratorio y teóricos de otros sistemas volcánicos y contribuciones de riesgos volcánicos asociados y de mitigación.
Esta sesión está apoyada por la Comisión de Volcanismo Submarino de IAVCEI (CoSV).
411 Tourism in suddenly erupting volcanoes: the hazards and risk of phreatic eruptions [Español]
Format: Presentations and panel discussion
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Gino González, Cristian Montanaro, Natalia Pardo, Jorge E. Romero
Contact: ginovolcanico@gmail.com
Description:
Active and dormant volcanoes show unique features such as fumaroles, colorful and bubbling lakes, thermal springs, mud pools, and abundant mineral precipitates attracting people for geo-, eco- and adventure tourism. Nevertheless, such unique environments are potentially dangerous because are often disrupted by unheralded phreatic eruptions. This type of explosive phenomena often occur in volcanic areas subject to extensive aquifers (e.g., in the tropics, at crater lakes, volcanic islands or glacial areas) that heat up and boil upon the arrival of hot magmatic fluids. Phreatic eruptions often occur with little or no precursory activity, and generate a variety of hazards including large ballistics ejection, energetic steam-rich pyroclastic density currents, and wet jets of poorly sorted debris and acidic fluids, that can be deadly for the visitors. Recent phreatic eruptions in Japan and New Zealand have injured and killed dozens of tourists, opening the debate of who is responsible for these disasters in light of unclear premonitory signals, proper risks communication and lack of warning systems. In this session, we invite the scientific community to submit contributions from field, geological, geophysical, geochemical, mathematics and experimental studies, as well as from communication science. We aim to foster discussions around the identification of premonitory signals, eruption deposits, triggers and dynamics, as well as on the development of warning tools and improvement of risks communication. In addition, we encourage to the civil protection authorities, early response teams, and stakeholders to share their studies, experiences, and lesson learned that could help develop new and more effective risk mitigation strategies related to phreatic eruptions.
411 Turismo en volcanes con erupciones repentinas: los peligros y riesgos de las erupciones freáticas
Formato: Presentaciones y panel
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: presentaciones orales y posters
Convocantes: Gino González, Cristian Montanaro, Natalia Pardo, Jorge E. Romero
Contacto: ginovolcanico@gmail.com
Descripción:
Volcanes activos y dormidos muestran características únicas como fumarolas, lagos coloridos y burbujeantes, aguas termales, piscinas de lodos y abundantes precipitados de minerales, que atraen a las personas para el geo-eco turismo y la aventura. Sin embargo, esto ambientes únicos son potencialmente peligrosos debido a que es común que se den erupciones freáticas sorpresivas. Este tipo de fenómeno explosivo ocurre usualmente en áreas volcánicas con grandes acuíferos (por ejemplo en los trópicos, lagos cratéricos, islas volcánicas y zonas glaciares) que son calentados por la entrada de fluidos magmáticos. Las erupciones freáticas generalmente ocurren con pocas o sin señales precursoras y a su vez estas generan una variedad de peligros que incluyen la expulsión de grandes balísticos, energéticas corrientes piroclásticas diluídas ricas en vapor, explosiones con detritos poco seleccionados y fluidos ácidos, que pueden ser mortales para los visitantes. Recientemente, en Japón y Nueva Zelanda las erupciones freáticas han dejado decenas de heridos y muertos, que han abierto el debate de quienes son los responsables de estos desastres, a la luz de las señales premonitoras poco claras, la apropiada comunicación del riesgo y la falta de sistemas de alerta.
En esta sesión, invitamos a la comunidad científica a enviar sus contribuciones de campo, geología, geofísica, geoquímica, matemáticas y estudios experimentales, así como desde las ciencias de la comunicación. El objetivo es fomentar la discusión sobre la identificación de las señales premonitoras, depósitos de las erupciones, disparadores y dinámicas, así como en el desarrollo de herramientas de alerta y las mejoras en la comunicación del riesgo. Asimismo, extendemos la invitación a las autoridades de protección civil, equipos de alerta temprana, tomadores de decisiones a compartir sus estudios, experiencias y lecciones aprendidas que han podido ayudar a desarrollar nuevos y más efectivas estrategias de mitigación del riesgo relacionadas con las erupciones freáticas.
412 Volcano slope instability and its products: from debris remobilization to cascading hazard
Format: Presentations, round table discussion
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Jorge E. Romero, Laura Becerril, Lizeth Caballero, Lucía Capra, Jorge Clavero, Irene Manzella, Lauren Schaefer
Contact: jeromerom1305@gmail.com
Description:
Landslides and mass-wasting in volcanic environments, both on-shore and subaqueous, comprises a wide spectrum of phenomena, from large lateral collapses to shallow debris remobilization that represent a major threat for societies. Evaluating volcanic hazards and related to these events requires a comprehensive understanding of the gravitational instability of volcanic edifices, the flow transport dynamics, and the short-and-long term impacts of volcanic landslides. Many volcanoes worldwide are located in tropical, high-precipitation environments or are covered by snow or glaciers, which exacerbates the potential for landslides, lahars and debris avalanches. Therefore, the moving masses can behave in different ways depending on water content and flow rheology and can demonstrate different modes from flank spreading or collapse to granular or viscous flow. Volcanic slopes instability and failure are common for coastal, island and submarine volcanoes as well, which can generate tsunamis reaching coastal areas tens of kilometers away from the source. The rapid entrainment of volcanic landslides into water bodies causes tsunamis that have killed thousands in the last centuries. Fatalities may increase with the direct impact of landslides, lateral blasts, and pyroclastic density currents that may follow sector collapses.
Landslide-induced transformations also imply the reconfiguration of drainages and sediment delivery patterns for thousands of years, whereas unloading within a similar timescale may impact the magmatic plumbing system and subsequently the eruptive rate. Understanding these cascading hazard events requires a joint effort of the scientific community to produce meaningful research to disclose the failure potential, hazard zoning, likely eruptive scenarios accompanying or following the collapse, and long-term geomorphologic consequences. All these aspects are key for risk evaluation in communities living close to volcanoes at a failure condition.
This session encourages multidisciplinary contributions that integrate onshore and offshore investigations, field-based geological studies, geomorphological mapping, geophysical investigations, remote sensing, and numerical and analogical modeling to tackle the challenging and fascinating study of these processes. These contributions should offer meaningful reflections and applications for volcanic hazard, risk, or volcano monitoring, and can incorporate a cascading hazard perspective. We are also willing to host investigations based on predictive models or forecast scenarios of flank instability and debris avalanche inundation at volcanoes at a failure condition, incorporating a risk perspective.
413 Nuevas metodologías para la evaluación de peligros y riesgos volcánicos [English]
Formato: Presentaciones y discusiones de panel/mesa redonda
Aceptará resúmenes: Yes
Tipos de contribuciones: charlas relámpago y posters
Convocantes: Daniel Bertin, Eliza Calder, Alfredo Esquivel, Luis Lara, Jan Lindsay, Alvaro Aravena, Danielle Charlton, Amiel Nieto, Sarah Ogburn, Bastian Steinke, Heather Wright
Contacto: daniel.bertin@sernageomin.cl
Descripción:
La evaluación de peligros y riesgos volcánicos, en el contexto de la volcanología moderna, requiere de la integración de información de campo complementada con el uso de diversos modelos computacionales. Para que esta evaluación sea rigurosa, se necesita de un conocimiento exhaustivo del sistema volcánico en estudio y del desarrollo de un modelo conceptual que encapsule la actividad volcánica pasada y sea capaz de prever y estimar los impactos de la actividad futura. Esta es una tarea
compleja debido a diversas limitantes, que van desde las dificultades de acceso al volcán (que condiciona la disponibilidad de información de terreno) a la estabilidad económica y política del país donde el volcán se ubica (que condiciona la disponibilidad de recursos y la prioridad que esta temática tiene para ese territorio). Esta sesión busca contribuciones que aborden de manera novedosa los desafíos detrás de la evaluación de peligros y riesgos volcánicos, considerando en especial aquellas potenciales limitantes.
413 New methodologies for volcanic hazard and risk assessments
Format: Presentations and panel/round table discussions
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: lightning talks and posters
Conveners: Daniel Bertin, Eliza Calder, Alfredo Esquivel, Luis Lara, Jan Lindsay, Alvaro Aravena, Danielle Charlton, Amiel Nieto, Sarah Ogburn, Bastian Steinke, Heather Wright
Contact: daniel.bertin@sernageomin.cl
Description:
Modern volcanic hazard and risk assessments are based upon the integration of field data and results from computer models. Rigorous assessments require a deep knowledge of the volcanic system and the development of a conceptual model of the volcano, so possible future behaviour and impacts can be estimated, mapped and communicated. This is not an easy task for several reasons, which include volcano inaccessibility (i.e., lack of data), time-poor contexts (i.e., crisis, urgent assessments) and even the long-term economic and political stability of the country in which the volcano is located (i.e., limited funding and institutional support). In this session, we invite researchers and practitioners to discuss new approaches to volcanic hazard and risk assessments. Topics to discuss could include time- and data-poor contexts, the influence of resource availability, how to conduct quick and efficient hazard assessments and maps, and the role of international collaboration.
414 Evaluación de la amenaza volcánica en América Latina: métodos innovadores y oportunidades para las estrategias de reducción del riesgo y la transferencia de conocimiento
Formato: Presentaciones y panel
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: presentaciones orales y posters
Convocantes: Roberto Mérdia, Amilcar Roca, María Luisa Monsalve, Marco Rivera, S. Daniel Andrade, Álvaro Amigo, Lucía Capra, Heather Wright, Jeremy Phillips, Pablo Tierz
Contact: pablo@bgs.ac.uk
Description:
El objetivo de esta sesión es intercambiar conocimiento acerca de los diferentes métodos utilizados, resultados y experiencias adquiridas durante la evaluación de la amenaza volcánica en volcanes de América Latina. Se desea incluir contribuciones que abarquen una variedad de métodos (p. ej. basados en inventarios de amenazas, escenarios eruptivos, y/o en métodos probabilísticos) y escalas temporales (p. ej. a corto plazo durante la respuesta a emergencias y/o en relación a la planificación a largo plazo). Esta variedad permitirá evidenciar los requisitos en términos de datos y destacar ejemplos de métodos y aplicaciones llevadas a cabo con éxito en volcanes de América Latina, resaltando el aprendizaje derivado de su aplicación. Estos métodos pueden incluir la toma de datos durante la erupción y/o el mapeo de productos eruptivos, el análisis en Sistemas de Información Geográfica, la aplicación de modelos físicos o estadísticos (p. ej. “árboles de eventos”), etc. También serán bienvenidas las contribuciones que ahonden en las relaciones entre la evaluación de las amenazas volcánicas y la gestión del riesgo desde el punto de vista operacional, bien sea a escala local, regional o nacional, así como ejemplos en los que métodos científicos, establecidos o innovadores, sean combinados con conocimientos comunitarios e indígenas, con el fin de incrementar el conocimiento sobre las amenazas y mejorar las estrategias de mitigación del riesgo.
La sesión incluirá una discusión de grupo con el objetivo de investigar los siguientes interrogantes: ¿Qué retos existen para la evaluación de las amenazas volcánicas en América Latina? ¿Qué oportunidades se vislumbran para el intercambio de conocimiento y datos (p. ej. usando volcanes análogos) dentro de América Latina, y en relación con otras regiones volcánicas en el mundo? ¿Cuál sería el modo más efectivo para establecer un intercambio recíproco de experiencia y conocimiento entre instituciones operacionales (p. ej. observatorios vulcanológicos) y académicas?
415 Risk mitigation in dormant volcanic provinces
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Guillaume Boudoire, Rigoberto Aguilar, Jacob Brauner, Julie Morin, Mare-Noëlle Guilbaud, Christine Sealing, Fatima Viveiros
Contact: guillaume.boudoire@uca.fr
Description:
Volcanic provinces constitute a dilemma for people living in their surroundings. With more than 800 million inhabitants living near a volcano, eruptions constitute one of the main sources of natural hazard for humanity. Conversely, volcanic provinces tend to favour the settling of local populations due to the plethora of induced natural resources such as geothermal energy, construction materials, fertile volcanic soil, and tourist activities. Considering the continuous growth of the global population, it becomes fundamental to understand how human activities may sustainably develop in volcanic provinces where imbalance can exist between connected natural hazards and resources. This is even truer in dormant or low-eruptive frequency volcanic provinces where almost no trace of volcanic activity in the collective memory together with the scarcity of phenomena indicating a potential latent activity (1) encourages complacency in socio-economic development due to the lack of awareness of populations, and (2) hinders the development of appropriate risk mitigation strategies. Paradoxically, long periods of volcanic rest may favour energy accumulation at depth and drive magmas near a critical pressure point. This parallel evolution significatively increases the probability of disaster. A particular case is that of monogenetic fields where long periods of quiescence may be followed by a cluster of events. Recent unrests or signs of unrest after long quiescent periods at La Palma (Spain), Reykjanes Peninsula (Iceland), Michoacán-Guanajuato (Mexico), Mayotte (France), São Jorge (Portugal), Vulcano (Italy), Mombacho (Nicaragua) have shed light on these issues. In this session, we focus on advances in research and risk mitigation strategies conducted in dormant volcanic provinces. In particular, we encourage a focus on innovative protocoles that can be transposed elsewhere, as well as multi-disciplinary projects that consider the need to increase awareness in populations at risk.
416 Volcano databases: integrating citizen science with observatory needs and powering communication and education strategies
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Cheryl Cameron, Sarah Ogburn, Peter Argueta, Kristi Wallace
Contact: cheryl.cameron@alaska.gov
Description:
This session will provide a forum for researchers, data managers, and community members to discuss the challenges and opportunities of integrating citizen science and volcano monitoring needs, and powering communication and education through volcano databases. Volcano databases are powerful tools for improving our understanding and forecasting volcanic processes. However, these databases are often located and managed far from the volcanoes and local observers, and must rely on inputs from diverse sources, including citizen science programs. Citizen science initiatives can also inform volcano researchers about community perceptions and concerns.
Successful integration of citizen science and community engagement into volcano databases can create effective and clear communication and enable community resilience and preparedness. Volcano databases can become powerhouses of information on past and present volcanic activity as well as hazards and risks; making this information accessible to communities in digestible language and formats is critical for building trust and facilitating two-way knowledge transfer, as well as increased awareness of volcanic hazards and risk.
In this session we invite presentations and discussion on the challenges and opportunities of integrating citizen science into volcano databases; best practices for socialization of accessible and user-friendly tools for citizen science data collection and management; strategies for ensuring internally consistent handling and parameterization of citizen science data; examples of successful communication and education strategies using volcano databases; and opportunities for community involvement and empowerment through volcano databases.
417 Forecasting volcanic hazards: new technologies and probabilistic multi-source and multi-hazard assessment combining HPC and field data
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Silvia Massaro, Ciro Del Negro, Eleonora Amato, Simona Cariello, Leonardo Mingari, Laura Sandri, Federica Torrisi
Contact: silvia.massaro@uniba.it
Description:
Volcanic eruptions are complex phenomena which are commonly nonlinear and stochastic, posing multi-hazards and multi-risks, with potential interactions among the different phenomena and/or damaging mechanisms.
Improvements in eruption forecasting are closely related to a wealth of data from enhanced monitoring techniques as satellite observations, and advances in computing power, leading to the increased use of data-driven approaches, including Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques combined with physical constraints to bridge the gap between data-driven methods and physical modeling, offering an alternative path to deal with the nonlinear and time-dependent character of volcanic phenomena.
Simulation of hazardous volcanic phenomena is also coupled with probabilistic analysis that considers the natural variability in terms of eruption probability, eruption sizes, vent position and boundary and initial conditions (e.g., meteorological conditions or DEM resolution).
High Performance Computing (HPC) plays a crucial role enabling both simulation capability (i.e., to run a very complex numerical simulation that would otherwise be computationally infeasible) and capacity (i.e., to run thousands or more instances of the same simulator, to explore natural variability or more hazard sources). This is clearly a large step towards less biased multi-source and multi-hazard assessment.
Probabilistic volcanic hazard assessments have provided a common description based on the quantification of the mean annual rates of exceedance, making possible an explicit comparison among the different risks. One example is the hazard disaggregation scheme that permits to postprocess hazard results to display the relative contributions to the hazard of different volcanoes.
This session solicits contributions on new monitoring system techniques through satellite remote sensing, computational methods, blending deep-learning, data-driven approaches and physics-based simulations, and studies on probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment through HPC resources, combining multiple sources and/or multiple hazardous phenomena at long- and short-term scale, aimed to rank multiple sources according to their hazard and risk.
418 Health hazards associated with volcanic emissions: quantifying emissions, assessing exposure, and informing mitigation
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Ines Tomašek, David Damby, Claire Horwell, Evgenia Ilyinskaya, Carol Stewart
Contact: ddamby@usgs.gov
Description:
Volcanic eruptions can pose a considerable threat to the wellbeing and livelihoods of communities living near active volcanoes. Peoples’ health can be affected in various ways, including fatalities and injuries from pyroclastic flows/surges, lava flows and ballistic projectiles, whereas exposure to the fine-grained ash and gases can exacerbate or induce respiratory diseases and symptoms, and eye and skin irritation. Other, more indirect, effects include contamination of water supplies and crops, and psychological distress related to the eruption crisis. Co-ordinated, multi-disciplinary efforts are needed to assess and successfully prepare for managing health hazards associated with volcanic phenomena, and to provide timely advice to anxious populations and emergency managers during volcanic crises. The International Volcanic Health Hazard Network (www.ivhhn.org) is celebrating, in 2024, 21 years of bringing together scientists and practitioners working globally to protect the health of communities during and after volcanic eruptions.
For this session, we invite contributions from a broad range of disciplines relating to human and environmental health in volcanic areas, including:
i) community exposure and protection,
ii) health hazard and impact assessment (mineralogical, toxicological, clinical and epidemiological studies),
iii) air and water quality monitoring and forecasting,
iv) risk assessment and hazard management, including modelling studies of future eruptions impacts,
v) community preparedness and response to volcanic eruptions.
We particularly encourage submissions related to experiences in managing health-related challenges during eruptions, which are rarely documented in the academic literature.
419 Volcanic emission impacts to societies, environments, and economies: From forecasting to informing resilience-building actions [español]
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations, lightning talks, and posters
Conveners: Heather Craig, Pierre Delmelle, Susanna Jenkins, Kristi Wallace, Alana Weir, Sébastien Biass, David Damby, Natalia Deligne, Josh Hayes, Graham Leonard, Noa Ligot, Christina Magill, Carol Stewart, James Williams, Thomas Wilson
Contact: heather.craig@canterbury.ac.nz
Description:
Our understanding of the volcanic emissions (tephra, gas, acid rain) to the built, agricultural, and natural environment has increased significantly over the last few decades. Tephra impacts are complex and influenced by volcanic factors, environmental and climatic conditions, interdependent infrastructure network configurations, and the social and physical characteristics of the affected communities and assets. This session will provide an opportunity for sharing methodologies, data, and studies that quantify impacts and support risk modelling. We are particularly interested in the use of such information by all stakeholders (e.g., local communities and landowners, emergency management, government authorities, insurance) to increase societal resilience to ashfall impacts.
The session will be comprised of a series of traditional conference presentations focusing on current, state of the art research in volcanic emission impacts, including examples of how stakeholders can or have used this data to manage risk. This will be followed by a series of lightning talks on future research ideas that address gaps in our knowledge and propose collaborative opportunities. We invite abstracts for full talks on current research and for the lightning talks focusing on future initiatives.
This session is sponsored by the IAVCEI Cities and Volcanoes Commission.
419 Impactos de las emisiones volcánicas en la sociedad, el medio ambiente y sistemas economícos: de la previsión a la información de las acciones para crear resiliencia
Formato: Presentaciones
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: presentaciones orales, charlas relámpago y posters
Conveners: Heather Craig, Pierre Delmelle, Susanna Jenkins, Kristi Wallace, Alana Weir, Sébastien Biass, David Damby, Natalia Deligne, Josh Hayes, Graham Leonard, Noa Ligot, Christina Magill, Carol Stewart, James Williams, Thomas Wilson
Contacto: heather.craig@canterbury.ac.nz
Descripción:
Nuestra comprensión de las emisiones volcánicas (tefra, gas, lluvia ácida) en el entorno construido, agrícola y natural ha aumentado significativamente en las últimas décadas. Los impactos de tefra son complejos y están influenciados por factores volcánicos, condiciones ambientales y climáticas. También se influencian por las configuraciones de redes interdependientes de infraestructura y las características sociales y físicas de las comunidades y activos afectados. Esta sesión brindará la oportunidad de compartir metodologías, datos y estudios que cuantifican los impactos y respaldan el modelado de riesgos. Estamos particularmente interesados en difundir el uso de dicha información por parte de todas las partes interesadas (j., comunidades locales y propietarios de tierras, gestión de emergencias, autoridades gubernamentales, o seguros financieros) para aumentar la resiliencia de la sociedad ante los impactos de las caídas de ceniza.
La sesión constará de una serie de presentaciones centradas en investigaciones actuales y vanguardia sobre los impactos de las emisiones volcánicas, incluidos ejemplos de cómo los participantes pueden utilizar o han utilizado estos datos para gestionar el riesgo. A esto le seguirá una serie de charlas relámpago sobre ideas de investigación futuras que aborden las lagunas temáticas en nuestro conocimiento y que propongan oportunidades de colaboración. Invitamos resúmenes para charlas completas sobre investigaciones actuales y para las charlas relámpago que se centran en iniciativas futuras.
Esta sesión es apoyada por la Comisión Cities and Volcanoes de IAVCEI.
420 Lecciones aprendidas de erupciones recientes y otras crisis. [English]
Formato: Presentaciones y panel
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: charlas relámpago y posters
Convocantes: Carla Chun-Quinillo, Natalia I. Deligne, Angela Doherty, Dulce González, Lizzette A. Rodríguez, Richard Robertson, Sara Barsotti, Sylvain Charbonnier
Contacto: lizzette.rodriguez1@upr.edu
Descripción:
Durante la última década, numerosas erupciones en diferentes países han afectado significativamente a las comunidades locales y regionales. En Latinoamérica, se pueden mencionar la erupción del volcán Fuego en Guatemala (2018), la erupción del volcán Calbuco en Chile (2015), la erupción del volcán Momotombo en Nicaragua (2015-16) y la erupción del volcán San Miguel en El Salvador (2013-14). Además, ha habido crisis no volcánicas que comparten muchos desafíos similares a los de las erupciones volcánicas, incluyendo los mensajes públicos, la gestión de evacuaciones y amenazas a la seguridad de la vida, y el retorno y la recuperación. El objetivo de esta sesión es comparar experiencias y aprender de las crisis volcánicas y no volcánicas. Extendemos una invitación especial a la protección civil e instituciones de respuesta de todo el mundo, al personal e investigadores de instituciones de vigilancia e investigación volcánica, líderes comunitarios, y aquéllos que hayan vivido alguna crisis a que compartan sus experiencias durante estos eventos. La sesión consistirá de una serie de presentaciones cortas seguidas por una discusión que fomente el diálogo entre el público y los panelistas de diferentes grupos. Esta sesión está patrocinada por la Comisión de Ciudades y Volcanes de IAVCEI.
420 Lessons from recent eruptions and other crises
Format: Presentations
Accepting abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: lightning talks and posters
Conveners: Carla Chun-Quinillo, Natalia I. Deligne, Angela Doherty, Dulce González, Lizzette A. Rodríguez, Richard Robertson, Sara Barsotti, Sylvain Charbonnier
Contact: lizzette.rodriguez1@upr.edu
Description:
Over the last decade, numerous eruptions in different countries have profoundly affected local and regional communities. In Latin America alone such eruptions include Fuego in Guatemala (2018), Calbuco in Chile (2015), Momotombo in Nicaragua (2015-16), and San Miguel in El Salvador (2013-14). Additionally, there have been non-volcanic crises that share many similar challenges as volcanic eruptions, including public messaging, managing evacuations and life-safety threats, and return and recovery. The aim of this session is to compare experiences and learn from both volcanic and non-volcanic crises. We extend a special invitation to emergency managers from around the world, staff from volcano monitoring agencies and research institutions, community leaders, and those who have lived through crises to share their experiences. The session will consist of a series of short presentations, followed by a discussion between the public and panelists representing different groups. This session is sponsored by the IAVCEI Cities and Volcanoes Commission.
421 ¿Por qué siguen muriendo personas en zonas de alto riesgo volcánico?: Barreras cognitivas, institucionales y en el territorio que limitan una percepción del riesgo apropiada para evitar la pérdida de vidas en eventos volcánicos
Formato: Panel y diálogo abierto
Aceptará resúmenes: No
Convocantes: Ricardo Berganza, Rosa Sánchez del Valle, Manolo Barillas
Contacto: rberganza@hotmail.com
Descripción:
Se facilitará un diálogo interdisciplinario, ágil, basado en una ronda de presentaciones breves para luego aproximar el análisis de la vulnerabilidad desde las ciencias sociales y la evaluación del riesgo desde la geología y ciencias afines. El reto será identificar elementos de consenso en torno a cómo aproximar el trabajo institucional y científico a los imaginarios locales. La importancia de la sesión se puede sintetizar en que en zonas de volcanes con erupciones recientes continúan viviendo personas que exhiben una percepción de riesgo y condiciones materiales de vida que les mantienen a merced del próximo evento volcánico. La pregunta inicial puede ser: ¿cuáles son las barreras cognitivas, institucionales y en el territorio que limitan una percepción del riesgo apropiada para evitar la pérdida de vidas en eventos volcánicos? las respuestas pueden construirse desde los sesgos cognitivos, el análisis crítico de discurso, la percepción del riesgo (en el tiempo y por amenaza), incluso la construcción del discurso científico sin perder de vista que pueden existir condiciones socioeconómicas que trascienden a la percepción del riesgo o la calidad de la información científica disponible.
422 La Palma: The Inforuption / La Palma: la inforrupción
Format: Panel discussion
Accepts abstracts: No
Conveners: Sharon Backhouse, Ben Ireland, José Marrero, Víctor Melo, Stavros Meletlidis
Contact: sharonbackhouse@geotenerife.com
Description:
The purpose of this session is to discuss the effectiveness of science communication for people at risk, before and during the eruption, across all stakeholders (scientific, governmental institutions, emergency managers, the media).
What is helpful in a time of crisis, and how should it be expressed? What should we avoid? There have been many examples of problems around this in La Palma, particularly with the mass media interest and social media explosion that surrounded the eruption. These problems included the communication of alert levels and uncertainty, transparency in decision-making, framing updates in a relevant way for those impacted, and reporting that created unnecessary fear amongst the population. Language matters – particularly in a time of crisis, and all these four stakeholders “speak and hear” differently, so building that awareness is important to build more effective communication that is helpful to the people. Discussing across these stakeholders will further help to build rapport and mutual understanding. This session is aimed at scientists, politicians and emergency managers who need to “adapt” their language in communication to ensure they are “effectively heard” by each other and, importantly, the affected population.
423 Long-term engagement and interaction between civil authorities and volcano observatories: opportunities and lessons learnt
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Erouscilla Joseph, Nicolas Fournier, Nemesio M. Pérez, Silvana Hidalgo, Angela Doherty, Richard Robertson, Stacey Edwards
Contact: erouscilla.joseph@sta.uwi.edu
Description:
Volcanic eruptions pose significant risks to human life, infrastructure, and the environment. The successful management of volcanic crises requires a coordinated and close collaborative effort between civil authorities and volcano observatories. This session will provide a platform for experts in the field to share their experiences and insights on how to achieve successful long-term engagement and interaction between civil authorities and volcano observatories. Presenters will draw on their experiences from various regions around the world to demonstrate the benefits of sustained partnerships between emergency managers and volcano observatories. They will showcase models for engagement, and communication strategies that have been developed to enhance the quality of collaboration and coordination between these groups. Participants will gain an understanding of the different challenges that may arise in establishing such partnerships and how to overcome them. The insights and lessons learned from this session will contribute to the development of more effective and sustained partnerships, ultimately improving the management of volcanic hazards and increasing the safety of communities living in volcanic areas.
The intent of this session is to share successes and failures in engagement strategies. Topics to be explored in this session include the impact of long-term relationships between emergency managers and volcano observatories, the use of joint exercises to build collaboration and coordination, the role of technology in improving communication, and the development of shared language and understanding. The session will also cover lessons learned from past volcanic events, including examples of successful responses and areas for improvement. The session will be of particular interest to civil authorities, emergency managers, scientists, and policymakers involved in managing volcanic risks and developing partnerships between emergency managers and volcano observatories.
424 Scientific-operational interface in volcanic crisis management: integrating national and international contributions
Format: Presentations and panel discussion
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Julie Morin, Domenico Mangione, Amilcar Roca, Álvaro Amigo, Sebastián García, Amy donovan, Ulrich Küppers, Amilcar Roca
Contact: jmm266@cam.ac.uk
Description:
The importance of transdisciplinary collaborations between scientists and practitioners/decision-makers engaged in risk assessment and volcanic crisis management is recognised as fundamental to ‘good’ crisis management. In particular, it is essential that scientific findings are disseminated and understood by the authorities and civil protection, which implies a mutual understanding of the possibilities, limitations and constraints of assessment and communication before and during volcanic crises. Best practices for volcanic observatories have been proposed in recent years, and should be enriched by taking into account the diversity of contexts (legislative, institutional, environmental…) and by integrating collaborations with researchers outside the observatories whose work can benefit the authorities in terms of assessment and decision-making.
One of the unexplored areas in this field is collaboration around high magnitude events with low probability of occurrence or very localized events, which can be difficult to assess and monitor scientifically, and impossible for authorities to manage without a crisis or even a disaster developing.
Another under-researched yet essential aspect of this field is the study of the joint work required between scientists and authorities to get communities to evacuate at optimal temporal and spatial scales.
We welcome presentations from volcano observatory scientists, researchers, and practitioners. They may include feedback from actual crises, evacuations or exercises/trainings, as well as tools and protocols (to be) developed to facilitate transdisciplinary cooperation and communication in joint risk assessment/mitigation, and crisis management. We also welcome presentations on other types of hazards which, having considered the specificities of volcanic crises, propose applications/transfers to improve their management. Finally, presentations on the management of cross-border risks and crises, involving a multiplication of interactions and protocols, are welcome, in order to explore the possibilities of improving crisis management across borders.
The presentations will be followed by a panel discussion composed of the conveners.
425 Emergency strategies at the frontiers of understanding: embracing new worlds from artificial intelligence to social media [español]
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: lightning talks and posters
Conveners: Annamaria Vicari, Enrica Marotta, Christopher Kilburn, Roberto Moretti, Luca D’Auria, Mario Tomasone
Contact: annamaria.vicari@ingv.it
Description:
The last 20 years have seen significant growths in the scientific understanding of volcanoes, the capability of information technology and the use of social media. Among the most dramatic changes are the rise of artificial intelligence and the mining of big data, which are opening new opportunities for raising awareness of volcanic hazards, for designing hazard and risk scenarios, and for co-designing the most suitable strategies for responding to volcanic emergencies. The speed of change, however, can leave operational procedures lagging behind the latest innovations. As a result, established emergency strategies risk becoming outdated with respect to new knowledge, especially at volcanoes that erupt infrequently, when it is all too easy to maintain the same strategy until the lack of preparedness is abruptly revealed by a new emergency.
Our session will focus on how we can best maintain preparedness while a volcano is tranquil. Our goal is to compare and integrate the perceptions of all those involved in transforming new knowledge into operational procedures, including data gatherers, operational managers and the recipients of warnings. Thus, on the one hand, how can we can explain and make accessible the latest techniques for the acquisition, transmission, storage, and treatment of monitoring data (from ground-based sensors to satellites) and, on the other, how can we use the information to co-design with end-users (from the public to civil protection and political agencies) response procedures that are practical and effective under the stress of a crisis? We welcome insights from participants with a broad spectrum of experience, whether scientific or non-scientific, for a session of lively and thought-provoking discussion.
425 Estrategias de emergencia en las fronteras de la comprensión: abrazando nuevos mundos desde la inteligencia artificial hasta las redes sociales
Formato: Presentaciones
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: charlas relámpago y posters
Convocantes: Annamaria Vicari, Enrica Marotta, Christopher Kilburn, Roberto Moretti, Luca D’Auria, Mario Tomasone
Contacto: annamaria.vicari@ingv.it
Descripción:
En los últimos 20 años se han producido importantes avances en el conocimiento científico de los volcanes, la capacidad de las tecnologías de la información y el uso de las redes sociales. Entre los cambios más drásticos se encuentran el auge de la inteligencia artificial y la extracción de macrodatos, que están abriendo nuevas oportunidades para aumentar la concienciación sobre los peligros volcánicos, diseñar escenarios de peligro y riesgo y codiseñar las estrategias más adecuadas para responder a las emergencias volcánicas. Sin embargo, la velocidad del cambio puede hacer que los procedimientos operativos se queden rezagados con respecto a las últimas innovaciones. Como consecuencia, las estrategias de emergencia establecidas corren el riesgo de quedar desfasadas con respecto a los nuevos conocimientos, especialmente en volcanes que entran en erupción con poca frecuencia, cuando resulta demasiado fácil mantener la misma estrategia hasta que la falta de preparación se pone de manifiesto abruptamente por una nueva emergencia.
Nuestra sesión se centrará en cómo podemos mantener mejor la preparación mientras un volcán está tranquilo. Nuestro objetivo es comparar e integrar las percepciones de todos los implicados en la transformación de los nuevos conocimientos en procedimientos operativos, incluidos los recopiladores de datos, los gestores operativos y los destinatarios de las alertas. Así, por un lado, ¿cómo explicar y hacer accesibles las últimas técnicas de adquisición, transmisión, almacenamiento y tratamiento de datos de vigilancia (desde sensores terrestres hasta satélites) y, por otro, cómo utilizar la información para codiseñar con los usuarios finales (desde el público hasta los organismos políticos y de protección civil) procedimientos de respuesta que resulten prácticos y eficaces bajo el estrés de una crisis? Agradeceremos las aportaciones de participantes con un amplio espectro de experiencia, tanto científica como no científica, para una sesión de debate animado y sugerente.
426 El rol de las asociaciones y organizaciones no gubernamentales en la reducción del riesgo volcánico [English]
Formato: Presentaciones y panel
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: lightning talks y posters
Convocantes: Lizzette A. Rodríguez, Pablo Forte, Mariana Patricia Jácome Paz
Contacto: lizzette.rodriguez1@upr.edu
Descripción:
En volcanología, así como en la reducción y gestión del riesgo volcánico, intervienen una diversidad de instituciones. Entre las más reconocidas se destacan las universidades, los observatorios volcanológicos y las agencias de protección civil. Sus roles, responsabilidades y objetivos son, por lo general, conocidos y ampliamente aceptados por la comunidad. Asimismo, principalmente en las últimas décadas, hemos sido testigos del surgimiento de diversos grupos y organizaciones no gubernamentales que pretenden intervenir en estas mismas temáticas.
Esta sesión está dirigida a analizar y reflexionar sobre el rol que estas últimas juegan en la reducción y gestión del riesgo volcánico, en las distintas escalas y contextos en las que se insertan. Para esto, esperamos contar con la participación de representantes de diferentes grupos, ofreciendo presentaciones cortas sobre sus experiencias, su consolidación, los retos durante su desarrollo, sus fortalezas y debilidades, y sus perspectivas a futuro. Dichas presentaciones serán seguidas por una discusión de panel donde el público podrá participar activamente a través de preguntas y comentarios para los panelistas.
Entre los ejes temáticos que pretende abordar el debate se incluye el rol de estas organizaciones antes, durante y después de una crisis eruptiva, las potenciales interferencias con las instituciones “tradicionales”, los usos y contenidos en redes sociales, la definición de una temática y público objetivo, entre otros.
En esta sesión son bienvenidas las contribuciones de grupos organizados nacionales o internacionales, no gubernamentales, que dentro de sus objetivos se encuentre al menos uno de los siguientes:
(i) intervenir en la reducción del riesgo de desastre asociado a la actividad volcánica;
(ii) apoyar a la investigación y difusión científica en volcanología;
(iii) divulgar aspectos de volcanología general o local;
(iv) impulsar la cooperación entre observatorios volcánicos, universidades y grupos dedicados a la volcanología; y
(v) organizar reuniones, seminarios, foros y congresos con enfoque en volcanología.
426 The role of the non-governmental associations and organizations in the reduction of volcanic risk
Format: Presentations and panel discussion
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: lightning talks and posters
Conveners: Lizzette A. Rodríguez, Pablo Forte, Mariana Patricia Jácome Paz
Contact: lizzette.rodriguez1@upr.edu
Description:
A diversity of institutions intervene in volcanology, as well as in the reduction and management of volcanic risk. Among the most recognized are the universities, volcano observatories, and the civil protection agencies. Their roles, responsibilities, and objectives are generally known and broadly accepted by the community. In addition, mainly in the last decades, we have witnessed the emergence of diverse non-governmental groups and organizations that intend to intervene in these same themes.
This session is aimed at analyzing and reflecting on the role that the latter play in the reduction and management of volcanic risk, at the different scales and contexts in which they are inserted. For this, we hope to have the participation of representatives of different groups, offering short presentations on their experiences, their consolidation, the challenges during their development, their strengths and weaknesses, and their future. These presentations will be followed by a panel discussion where the public can actively participate through questions and comments for the panelists.
The thematic axes that the debate intends to address include the role of these organizations before, during and after an eruptive crisis, the potential interference with “traditional” institutions, the uses and contents in social networks, and the definition of a theme and target audience, among others.
In this session, we welcome contributions from national or international, non-governmental organized groups that pursue at least one of the following objectives:
(i) intervene in disaster risk reduction associated with volcanic activity;
(ii) support research and scientific dissemination in volcanology;
(iii) disseminate aspects of general or local volcanology;
(iv) promote cooperation between volcano observatories, universities and groups dedicated to volcanology; and
(v) organize meetings, seminars, forums and conferences with a focus on volcanology.
427 Stakeholder needs: Communication for decision-making during crises [español]
Format: Presentations and discussion
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Beth Bartel, Wendy Stovall, Nico Fournier, William Chigna
Contact: bethbartel@gmail.com
Description:
Decisions in times of volcanic unrest are sometimes made with great uncertainty, especially pertaining to evacuations and closures. In any given crisis, multiple stakeholders rely on incomplete information on which to base these decisions. Therefore, timely, accurate, accessible, understandable, and usable information is critical for informing decisions made by civil protection, policy makers, governance, land managers, businesses, residents, and visitors. How can hazard and risk management professionals (scientists, civil protection, etc.) better provide information for each other and various other stakeholders during a crisis? How can providers of information (including but not limited to observatories and other scientists) understand the needs of various decision-makers and design communications that are relevant and useful for those stakeholders? How can people at all levels (government, household, etc.) make informed decisions (e.g., evacuations) – what structures are in place to facilitate decision-making during crises, and on what information are these decisions based? This session welcomes information producers and users (acknowledging they may be one and the same) to share experiences with communicating for decision-making and reflections on decision-making processes, as well as researchers to share analyses of communication and/or decision-making practices, to inform decision-making strategies and communication in volcanic crises.
427 Necesidades de las partes interesadas: comunicación para la toma de decisiones durante las crisis
Formato: Presentaciones y discussion
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: presentaciones orales y posters
Convcocantes: Beth Bartel, Wendy Stovall, Nico Fournier, William Chigna
Contacto: bethbartel@gmail.com
Descripción:
Las decisiones en tiempos de agitación volcánica a veces se toman con gran incertidumbre, especialmente en respecto a evacuaciones y cierres. En cualquier crisis, múltiples partes interesadas confían en información incompleta en la que basar estas decisiones. Por lo tanto, la información oportuna, precisa, accesible, comprensible y utilizable es fundamental para informar las decisiones tomadas por la protección civil, los encargados de formular políticas, la gobernanza, los administradores de tierras, las empresas, los residentes y los visitantes. ¿Cómo pueden los profesionales de la gestión de peligros y riesgos (científicos, protección civil, etc.) brindar mejor información entre sí y a otras partes interesadas durante una crisis? ¿Cómo pueden los proveedores de información (incluidos, entre otros, los observatorios y otros científicos) comprender las necesidades de los diversos tomadores de decisiones y diseñar comunicaciones que sean relevantes y útiles para esas partes interesadas? ¿Cómo pueden las personas en todos los niveles (gobierno, hogar, etc.) tomar decisiones informadas (por ejemplo, evacuaciones): qué estructuras existen para facilitar la toma de decisiones durante las crisis y en qué información se basan estas decisiones? Esta sesión invita a los productores y usuarios de información (reconociendo que pueden ser lo mismo) para compartir experiencias con la comunicación para la toma de decisiones y reflexiones sobre los procesos de toma de decisiones, así como a investigadores para compartir análisis de comunicación y/o prácticas de toma de decisiones, para informar estrategias de toma de decisiones y comunicación en crisis volcánicas.
428 Un pilar prioritario en la gestión del riesgo – la comunicación
Formato: Presentaciones y panel de discusión
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: presentaciones orales y posters
Convocantes: Jacqueline Yamileth Rivera Ayala, Luis Antonio Montenegro Barahona, Eveling Espinoza jaime, Luis Iván Girón Melgar, Patricia Jácome Paz, Dolors Ferrés López
Contacto: jacquelinerivera@ambiente.gob.sv
Description:
La reducción del riesgo de desastres (RRD) es una inversión para la prevención de pérdidas futuras y contribuye al desarrollo sostenible. La RRD debe tener un enfoque preventivo amplio y centrado en las personas, contemplando aspectos multisectoriales, inclusivos y accesibles para su eficiencia y eficacia. Por lo que es importante reconocer la función de liderazgo, administración, regulación y coordinación que desempeñan los gobiernos, y su interacción con los actores pertinentes (sectores públicos, privado, organizaciones de la sociedad civil, academia e instituciones científicas-investigación), que deben colaborar más estrechamente y crear oportunidades conjuntas (UNISDR, Marco de Sendai 2015-2030).
Dentro de sus principios rectores el Marco de Sendai indica que la RRD depende de los mecanismos de coordinación en todos los sectores y entre un sector y otro, y con los actores pertinentes a todo nivel. Esto requiere la plena participación de todas las instituciones ejecutivas y legislativas del Estado a nivel nacional y local y una articulación clara de las responsabilidades de los actores públicos y privados, incluidas las empresas y el sector académico, para asegurar la comunicación mutua, la cooperación, la complementariedad en funciones y rendición de cuentas y el seguimiento. Así mismo, dentro de la Prioridad 1 “Comprender el Riesgo de Desastres”, expresa que este diálogo y cooperación debe permitir formular políticas a fin de facilitar la conexión entre la ciencia y las políticas para un proceso eficaz de adopción de decisiones.
Por lo tanto, es importante reconocer cómo los procesos de comunicación interinstitucionales de los actores en la gestión de riesgo de desastres (GRD) en cada nación y región deben ser científica y socialmente justificados, así como adecuadamente estructurados, institucionalizados y formalizados. La región latinoamericana es una de las regiones expuestas y vulnerables ante la ocurrencia de fenómenos naturales, uno de ellos es la actividad volcánica.
En este contexto, es importante conocer los logros, herramientas-mecanismos, retos y visiones de cada país en la región, identificando buenas prácticas que sean de apoyo a cada nación para lograr una mejor coordinación interinstitucional y promover una adecuada GRD.
429 ‘Can everyone understand us?’: Communicating risk to vulnerable populations in volcanic areas
Format: Presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: oral presentations and posters
Conveners: Stacey Edwards, Omari Graham, Lizzette A. Rodríguez Iglesias, Supriyati D. Adreastuti, Micol Todesco, Gloria P. Cortés, Elizabeth Westby, Erouscilla Joseph
Contact: stacey.edwards@sta.uwi.edu
Description:
Effective risk communication is critical for reducing the impact of disasters from volcano eruptions, especially for vulnerable populations who are disproportionately affected. While demographic attributes such as age, gender and education are important, targeted approaches addressing the unique needs of groups who become vulnerable during a crisis may be overlooked, particularly in resource-constrained contexts. This is especially true for women, children, elderlies, indigenous peoples, migrants with language barriers, and others in vulnerable situations. Implementing communication strategies that reflect their unique needs is critical in reducing risk for this community.
This session will provide a forum for sharing best practice for communicating volcanic risk to vulnerable populations. Based on lessons emerging from experiences with volcanic crises or outreach during quiescent periods, presenters will share strategies, resources, communication products and programmes that have been used to reduce volcanic risk for diverse vulnerable groups. Relevant regulations, policies and disaster management systems will be discussed. We are particularly interested in inclusive initiatives involving collaboration between scientists with civil societies and community groups as well as those using participatory action research. Programmes and tools with embedded monitoring and evaluation systems to gauge efficacy are of special interest. We warmly welcome initiatives that have adapted and targeted mainstream communication methods or who have created evidence for the value of their work.
Participants will gain an understanding of the risk perceptions and unique needs of different vulnerable groups in diverse contexts, particularly the Global South. The session will provide insight for designing inclusive and accessible risk communication approaches which consider vulnerable population as a stratified audience. Knowledge will be gained on measuring the impact of risk communication and volcanic risk reduction initiatives for vulnerable populations. The session is of interest to scientists, science communicators, disaster risk reduction practitioners, emergency managers and NGOs/CBOs involved in volcanic risk reduction.
430 Communication is tuff: Conveying challenging topics in volcanology [español]
Format: Presentations, round table discussion, and panel discussion
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: lightning talks and posters
Conveners: Elizabeth Westby, Wendy Stovall, Micol Todesco, Mylene villegas, Sally Potter, Beth Bartel
Contact: lwestby@usgs.gov
Description:
While communication is rarely straightforward, some topics are more challenging than others. In this session, we seek to learn from our community’s broad expertise in communicating topics that are particularly hard to convey, either because of public knowledge, risk perception, messaging fatigue, or scientific uncertainty.
Topics may include, but are not limited to:
• How to communicate about low-probability, high-impact hazards, such as large eruptions;
• How to convey high-impact yet low-visibility hazards, such as harmful gas emissions and prolonged ashfall;
• How to communicate uncertainty in crisis or calm to strengthen trust and build credibility;
• How to understand and communicate relevant social science, such as risk perception and health impacts, within the volcanology community; and
• How to address misinformation and mistakes, whether ours or someone else’s.
This session will be interactive, with short presentations followed by discussion and collaborative thinking about how to convey challenging topics more effectively. We invite participation from skilled and new communicators to foster discussion for co-learning and build a network of people practicing, researching, and improving the communication of volcanic hazards. We invite presentations from those who serve at-risk communities, the interested public, researchers, agencies, and decision-makers.
This session will continue the progress made during an IAVCEI 2023 Communications Workshop and session by the same name in Rotorua, New Zealand. During the workshop, participants informally shared experiences and examples of visual materials, checklists for posting to social media, and social science research on how audiences respond to hazard messaging. In addition, participants created a Volcano Communications webpage https://volcanocommunication.wordpress.com/ to be used as a forum for sharing information with the broader communication community.
430 La comunicación es complicada: transmitir temas desafiantes en vulcanología
Formato: Presentaciones, mesa redonda y panel
Aceptará resúmenes: Sí
Tipos de contribuciones: lightning talks and posters
Convocantes: Elizabeth Westby, Wendy Stovall, Micol Todesco, Mylene villegas, Sally Potter, Beth Bartel
Contacto: lwestby@usgs.gov
Descripción:
Si bien la comunicación rara vez es directa, algunos temas son más desafiantes que otros. En esta sesión, buscamos aprender de la amplia experiencia de nuestra comunidad en la comunicación de temas que son particularmente difíciles de transmitir, ya sea por el conocimiento público, la percepción del riesgo, la fatiga de los mensajes o la incertidumbre científica.
Los temas pueden incluir, pero no se limitan a:
• Cómo comunicar sobre peligros de baja probabilidad y alto impacto, como grandes erupciones;
• Cómo transmitir peligros de alto impacto pero de baja visibilidad, como emisiones de gases nocivos y caída de ceniza prolongada;
• Cómo comunicar incertidumbre en crisis o calma para fortalecer la confianza y generar credibilidad;
• Cómo comprender y comunicar las ciencias sociales relevantes, como la percepción del riesgo y los impactos en la salud, dentro de la comunidad de vulcanología; y
• Cómo abordar la desinformación y los errores, ya sean nuestros o de otros.
Esta sesión será interactiva, con presentaciones cortas seguidas de debates y pensamiento colaborativo sobre cómo transmitir temas desafiantes de manera más efectiva. Invitamos a la participación de comunicadores experimentados y nuevos para fomentar la discusión para el aprendizaje conjunto y construir una red de personas que practiquen, investiguen y mejoren la comunicación de los peligros volcánicos. Invitamos presentaciones de quienes sirven a comunidades en riesgo, el público interesado, investigadores, agencias y tomadores de decisiones.
Esta sesión continuará el progreso realizado durante un taller de comunicaciones de IAVCEI 2023 y una sesión del mismo nombre en Rotorua, Nueva Zelanda. Durante el taller, los participantes compartieron informalmente experiencias y ejemplos de materiales visuales, listas de verificación para publicar en las redes sociales e investigaciones de ciencias sociales sobre cómo responde el público a los mensajes de peligro. Además, los participantes crearon una página web de Volcano Communications https://volcanocommunication.wordpress.com/ para ser utilizado como un foro para compartir información con la comunidad de comunicación más amplia.
431 Volcanic warnings for all: How can we translate warnings and alerts in the context of a multi-hazard, technologically driven, diverse global community?
Format: round table discussion/workshop
Accepts abstracts: No
Conveners: Carina Fearnley, Amy Donovan, Annie Winson, Andrew Tupper, Carolina García, Devy Kamil Syahbana, Sally Potter
Contact: c.fearnley@ucl.ac.uk
Description:
In March 2022, the UN Secretary-General announced a new initiative called ‘Early Warnings for All’ to ensure every person on Earth is protected by early warning systems (EWS) within five years. This is an ambitious goal as simple coverage is not enough: EWS must be co-owned by communities to be effective, and also address multi-hazard events. The recent global focus on multi-hazard EWS highlights the necessity to learn from and integrate multiple hazards. Technological developments are enhancing warning capacities, but there is still a need to understand better how to incorporate local communities with international practices.
The volcanological community has much to offer in this transition as volcanoes are by their very nature multi-hazard and multi-disciplinary, experiencing compound, independent, and cascading hazards. These hazards can occur over wide spatial and temporal scales and as such present the opportunity to highlight the complexity in managing multi-hazard EWS. Numerous examples are discussed in Observing the Volcano World: Volcanic Crisis Communication, including interactions with other hazards and respective communities including meteorological, seismic, tsunami, and aviation. The COV11 Volcano Alert Level Systems workshop at CoV11 highlighted the need for further discussion and integration of IAVCEI and WOVO workgroups to review the broader common goal of enhancing hazard and risk communication and establish how this can be implemented. A multi-hazard workshop at IAVCEI 2013 discussed a future vision and roadmap for integrating volcanic EWS with the world of hydrometeorology.
Using keynote presentations, campfire discussions, and mind-maps this session explores different perspectives around volcanic warnings:
i) what can the volcanological community teach other hazards to enhance warnings?;
ii) what can the volcanological community learn from other hazard EWS;
iii) how can we integrate volcanic warnings into global programs of warnings; and
iv) how can the volcanological community work across the many silos to make sure volcanoes are integrated with key international initiatives, and across multiple stakeholders in varying cultures?
432 COV Outreach Exchange
Format: Pop-up presentations
Accepts abstracts: No. A presenter sign-up list will be available at the start of COV12.
Types of contributions: 30 seconds to 3-minute pop-up presentations
Conveners: The IAVCEI Cities and Volcanoes Commission Executive Committee: Natalia I. Deligne, Angela Doherty, Diego Mauricio Gómez Martínez, Graham Leonard, Alana Weir, Danielle Charlton, Carina Fearnley
Contact: ndeligne@usgs.gov
Description:
The COV Outreach Exchange is a celebratory, informal, and supportive forum for sharing volcano-related educational and outreach projects and products. Participants are asked to prepare a 30 second to three-minute presentation about their project or product’s purpose, scope, and broader availability; visuals such as a powerpoint or a video are encouraged but not required. Participants are further encouraged to bring samples, copies for distribution, and/or materials for demonstration. Past shared initiatives include co-created museum exhibits, educational videos, pamphlets, co-created maps, teaching activities, posters, and a variety of additional products that involve multiple senses and engage communities. A presenter sign-up list will be available at the start of COV12. Observers are warmly welcomed. The COV Outreach Exchange is a long-standing tradition at COV conferences, sponsored by the IAVCEI Cities and Volcanoes Commission.
A presenter sign-up list will be available at the start of COV12. Observers are warmly welcomed.
433 Technological innovation for scientific outreach and teaching among communities exposed to volcanic eruptions
Format: Panel discussion and presentations
Accepts abstracts: Yes
Types of contributions: Oral presentations, lightning talks and posters
Conveners: Nicolás Mendoza, Andrea Vásquez, Alfredo Esquivel, Juan González, Matías Clunes, Virginia Toloza
Contact: mearvg@leeds.ac.uk
Description:
Worldwide, there are communities exposed to volcanic eruptions. Considering the diversity in their exposure levels, it is essential to know and disseminate the knowledge on the hazards faced by each community to develop a population prepared for an emergency and manage the risk at the community level. In this process, awareness of the surrounding territory, the design of emergency plans and previous experience plays a key role. In a territory that contemplates different realities, it is a challenge to make technological knowledge available to the communities and contribute, in that way, to their preparedness and resilience. From this perspective, this proposed session calls for stakeholders on emergency management, scientific and community-based contributions to share their experiences and discuss the use of technological innovation, in the following topics -but not restricted to them-; use of digital platforms for scientific outreach, virtual reality for teaching/learning, video games or applications for knowledge transfer, technological literacy of communities and/or specific or vulnerable populations (i.e. migrants, elderly, and others) in the context of risk management.
Comité organizador de programa:
Program Organising Committee:
Pablo Forte, Eliza Calder, Beatriz Cosenza-Muralles, Lizzette A. Rodríguez
cov12program@gmail.com